Don't look up
this post was submitted on 05 Apr 2025
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I once had a dream I was swimming in a river, and when I looked up at the night sky I saw something impact the Moon and shatter it, sending chunks down to Earth's surface.
Time to get that doomsday hype train rolling again for 2024 YR4! I don't even know how large an object would need to be in order to do something like that, probably larger than this is. I guess it'll just have to remain a dream, sigh.
Kick his ass, little buddy
That would be so cool!
until it fucks with the world's tidal patterns
That's what you say now, but wait until all the Moon Hornets come out.
Like an angry space pinata
Can't wait to see it. Space Hornets would not surprise me in 2025 honestly
That would be even more cool. Terrifying, yes, but also cool.
Have you read Seveneves?
No, but I know about elevenses.
Until the part where they shelter on the moon. Then I somehow lost interest.
Anyways, was an interesting read. I doubt 70 tons hitting the moon would do much to earth though. Maybe we get nice shooting stars?
So realistically, what would happen if there was a collision like this?
It's a pretty significant hit, but not enough to meaningfully change the moon's orbit, so no long term impacts from that. Maybe a pretty meteor shower from the material ejected? Probably not enough material to cause a significant amount of surface heating.
Experts [โฆ] have updated 2024 YR4โs chance of impacting the Moon on Dec. 22, 2032 from 1.7% as of late February to 3.8% based on the Webb data and observations from ground-based telescopes.
Me before reading those stats: ๐ฏ
Me after reading those stats: ๐ฎ
Yeah 3.8% is a huge chance in asteroid collision terms. Exciting stuff.