this post was submitted on 05 Apr 2025
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143
NASA doubles odds of Moon hitting near-Earth asteroid. (science.nasa.gov)
submitted 2 days ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[โ€“] [email protected] 26 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Experts [โ€ฆ] have updated 2024 YR4โ€™s chance of impacting the Moon on Dec. 22, 2032 from 1.7% as of late February to 3.8% based on the Webb data and observations from ground-based telescopes.

[โ€“] [email protected] 17 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Me before reading those stats: ๐Ÿ˜ฏ

Me after reading those stats: ๐Ÿ˜ฎ

[โ€“] [email protected] 18 points 1 day ago

Yeah 3.8% is a huge chance in asteroid collision terms. Exciting stuff.