Ask Lemmy

Drone attacks and drone based spying will be huge and hobby drones will be highly restricted.

As a casual drone enthusiast I'm already filling in all of my flying now because the free flying days seem to be numbered.

Major roadblocks to piracy and porn in the US. Piracy will never be eliminated, but the barrier to entry will become too difficult for most folks. I've subsequently been hoarding all of the media I can get my hands on in case this happens - I refuse to pay for 20 streaming services just to watch movies and TV.

Famine around the world. Global political instability + climate change + economic downturn = food scarcity.

A high profile political assassination in the US or Europe.

The gulf monarchies' oil will dry up, and they will collapse under their own weight.

... Probably not. But hey, a man can dream...

They made a film about it "idiocracy" and its already started.

The surveillance of chats and the prohibition of encryption in many Western countries must have a purpose. It mostly makes sense if democracy is dismantled.

Since the West doesn't show signs of sharing resources voluntarily, my prediction is that the West is willing to fight a nuclear war to preserve its lead which cannot happen in a democracy.

Without that war, Asia will take over as the center of commerce and innovation. The brightest will move there, which means that the remaining people in the West have to be innovative without the main ingredience for innovation.

Significantly populated areas of the developed world are going to be deemed inhospitable due to climate change

It will take more than 10 yrs to repair the damage being done to our gov.

I wonder if we'll ever see amendments to the constitution, it has been a long time. I'd like to see corporations declared to not have rights as if they were citizens.

Wars over water in North America

Since I'm not feeling very optimistic, and given that everything I predicted today was the exact opposite, I'll say this.

1. Campi Flegrei explodes, creating a noise louder than Krakatoa.
2. Santorini sinks into the ocean.
3. Nuclear war.
4. Groundwater runs out all over the world.
5. A massive solar emission hits earth, throwing us back into the Stone Age.

Doing my duty, to protect the world by predicting things, so the exact opposite happens 🍺.

Just to cover all the bases, some extra points.

1. AI superintelligence is evil.
2. A gamma-ray burst hits earth.
3. Aliens are evil.
4. Vacuum decay is possible and something accidentally triggers it.
5. Nobody likes me romantically.

Humanity globally shifts to an economic system of guarantees instead of our current extortional approach as we aknowledge we are already in a post scarcity world and work to fix distribution chains of human needs.

Either that or the corporate elites start a literal apocalypse so they don't have to work a fucking job like the rest of us.

A war will happen.

It will either be a civil war within the US but involving all of North America.

Or the literal 3rd world war. With usa and Russia fighting against Europe, where Canada is one of the main battleground.

I really wish I'm wrong, but I predicted drump's colonialist ambition over Canada years ago. I also remember being laugh at by everyone around the table at a diner for saying conservatives were making nazism acceptable again. Well guess what...

GRRM isn't going to finish the books.

One or more leading countries in the world to recognize some form of AI as sentient.

Economical collapse in multiple countries, including the US. Like Great Depression II.

This year will be declared the year of the linux desktop.

And so will the year after, and the one after…

" Dinosauria We" by Charles Bukowski

He nailed it.

The US falls behind more countries in average lifespan, education and avg income.

Preperations for the 2038 bug (similar te the Y2K bug) start too late about 2035

Linux Desktop gets stronger, even if its slow

I may or may not manage to finish hosting Nextcloud mostly save on the internet

Rise in suicide rates

fall of fanservice isekai (pls)

Rise of the fediverse (could be slow)

I’ll go by (very broad) regions:

The United States experiences a brain drain and Trump’s death (all but inevitable in 10 years, whether by natural causes or other means), will cause a major rift in the Republican Party. Democrats will somehow fail to capitalize on it and then blame online leftists, famously the kingmakers of American politics.

Canada will become a de facto part of Europe. Bike lanes will be added.

Europe will experience an economic boom as it’s basically forced to develop new industries, becomes the default destination for scientific research, and the Euro begins to replace the dollar as the currency of choice for international trade contracts. France, especially, will benefit as it isn’t reliant on the U.S. for military support, space launch capabilities, etc. and will become the default NATO weapons supplier.

Russia will have a deep post-war depression even if it takes Kyiv due to brain drain and sending so many young men into a meat grinder.

China will have a medium-sized economic crisis but ultimately (after Xi) enact long needed reforms (kind of like when Mao died and Deng Xiaoping enacted reforms).

India will have a major crisis as Hindu Nationalism goes too far and people begin to revolt.

Central Asia will keep on keeping on. (I don’t know a lot about Central Asia.)

Latin America will increase trade with China and Europe at the expense of the United States. Bolsonaro will go to the hospital 50 more times and be bit by an even more exotic bird. Argentina will benefit most from the decline of the U.S. as a reliable trading partner.

Israel will annex the West Bank and Arab countries will isolate it. Saudi Arabia’s line city will still be in the planning stages. Iran will develop a nuclear deterrent but the power of the Supreme Leader will be weakened and shift to the elected officials because of economic problems.

The Maghreb will benefit from Europe’s rise and increased trade. West Africa will experience an economic and population boom and become an inexpensive manufacturing hub. The Horn of Africa will probably remain a shitshow (but hopefully I’m wrong about that). Central and Southern Africa will also experience significant growth but at a slower pace than West Africa.

Australia will lose another war with emus as New Zealand wisely allies with the Emus. They will force Australia into a humiliating peace deal that ultimately leads to a third Emu War, much like WWI’s onerous peace terms led to WWII.

Ocean acidification and rising sea levels will begin to fuck everyone and scientists will scream about it but it’ll be the following decades when that sort of thing really wrecks the world economy.

Nintendo will somehow sell me the same games for the 5th time.

GTA6 will almost be complete