this post was submitted on 04 Sep 2024
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Use different actors?
Since everyone in the previous one is dead, why would they take the chance?
100% of people who live, die. Don't live! Wait, no...
Actually, only around 92% of all people who ever lived, died. So there is a chance!
The later in history you’re born, the lower your chances of dying. People born in 2024 have only a ~3% chance of being dead, while the death rate for people born just 100 years ago is over 99%. We’ve gotten much better at being alive as time goes on!
This table from the SSA messes me up. Apparently at 119 you’ve still got a 1 in 10 chance of survival. That seems rather optimistic.
IF you have already lived to 119 …..
Your life expectancy is 0.6 years …..
AND you have a one in ten chance of surviving one year