His model actually accounts for whether polls were taken before or after an event, and raises and lowers their impact and error margin based on that. Right up to the debate, his model was giving Kamala a <30% chance and it's only the inclusion of new polls since the debate that have moved her to 50%.
Webster
joined 1 year ago
Oh my god those loop earplugs have been a lifesaver! Started using them about a year ago. Can't recommend them enough for anyone else suffering
I have a condition called misophonia. Just kill me instead. Please.
In this particular case, OP said none of the others met their needs. I would like to know what new functionality this one has to know if it's something I'm interested in or not. It's not a critique - it's helping me understand if I want to check it out or not.
Escape from Tarkov. Yeah, I'll be dead shortly.
I bought the official dock and have struggled a bit with it. It sometimes doesn't recognize my TV and has other connectivity issues that seem to only be solved by repeatedly restarting it. I had an extra HooToo adapter lying around at work and holy crap that thing is such an awesome adapter for cheap that connects to the TV or my monitors and peripherals so easy and I've never had issues.
The expression you can't outrun your fork has hit me hard. I'm up 30lbs since I started running a decade ago, some of it's muscle, but most is I just need to eat better.
Vast majority don't, but I found after awhile that my favorite does (Ale8). That was on me - it's clearly marked.
I mean, that makes me even more skeptical. 108 volunteers tracked for that many sparesely populated vectors is 100% going to have hundreds of false positives just due to statistical noise.
Isn't this the one on I71 between Cincinnati and Columbus? I drive that route a ton and see it every time. There may be another on I75, but I don't drive it as much.
It's so hard to figure out this stuff ... but as a guy into computers who was debating going into academia instead of the field, this is what I did ...
I took the money, but lived like I had only the academic salary and invested the rest. 15 years in, life is pretty cushy, I've found a relaxing niche in my field that I like my job, but it's basically optional as long as I stay willing to live like an academic. But there were definitely some pains to get here. I might quit and go back, I might quit and travel, or quit and do a start up, but I like my job a lot now so I'm keeping at it.
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There's no guarantee you can draw a circle through the bottom of the four legs of a table (opposite legs can be off in the same direction). Also, most floors are not perfectly flat, therefore you can't assume the floor is at one elevation.