this post was submitted on 30 Mar 2025
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German media outlets Süddeutsche Zeitung, WDR, and NDR also cite the report, noting that Russian President Vladimir Putin appears intent on testing NATO’s Article 5 guarantees. The alliance’s mutual defence clause obliges member states to come to one another’s aid if attacked. The assessment suggests Putin may seek to challenge how seriously that commitment would be honoured.

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

You should read these claims with the same amount of nuance you use on claims like "Russia runs out of tanks/missiles/shells".

What they mean is "we can sustain a full-on, large scale offensive at optimal supply for two weeks, before we need to scale to a lower operational pace and stockpile material for our individual operations."

No military ever has enough, Russia "ran out" a few days into their offense, and yet they've been fighting for years.

Idk man, we (as in NATO nations, except the US) ran out of ammunition during the air campaign against Libya. And that lasted mere days without any significant enemy pushback. There simply are no significant (deep) depots of ammunitions stockpiled here. Sure, we could probably start throwing helmets at the Russians after a week or so.

Eh, NATO high command exists just fine. Sure, it would be headed by the 2nd in command, but it works.

Most of the NATO command structure is incredibly US centric though, it doesn’t end with the SACEUR. It's kind of unsettling considering our current relation with the US.

Regarding your last paragraph, I agree that airborne radar and satellite data are the most crucial factors we are lacking without the US.