I think that it relates to bargaining power. Right nowthe only leverage that the Ukrainians have to negotiate against giving up territory is to trade Kursk back. If a negotiation is forced by the new US government, the Russians want that leverage gone first, so that they can negotiate to keep held territory.
jaxxed
joined 11 months ago
| excepted
Pun or typo?. We'll never know.
I switched to niri about a year ago. It's perfect for those who like tiling WMs but want a more natural flow, without constant window resizing.
Niri with waybar, fuzzel, and tessen give a pretty complete desktop.
Trump talks shit, and he's weak at taking action. That is my point. Here he can likely get away with talking shit, and his opponents will cave.
The wall was bs, but he did get nafta renegotiated by bullying.
He's got a good chance at coming out of RU and CN negotiations looking good, despite not doing anything.
He's nothing but a bully, which might actually work here. If it does, then the authoritarians shithawks are going to look really good.
Actually, I am really removed from the US domestic situation, and only impacted by the US foreign policy situation.
I'm just trying to point out that he can use his threats to get what he wants, which is the only tactic that he actually knows how to do. Unless he got smarter since his last tern.
There are some 8 weeks for real action.
Ukraine has clearly stated what they need, and much of it is clear, some is even free. There is no risk of escalation anymore. Do it or don't do it, but stop playing games.
The Baltics are in a much stronger position than Ukraine. They are in Nato already, and are geographically important as a buffer to the only Nato members who actually take Russia as a serious threat (Norway, Sweden, Finland and Poland.) Tactically, air and sea defence of the Baltics is externally feasible, and the Baltics nations have focused on building land defense over the recent years. If you combine this with the obvious Russian war fatigue, and lack of resources, it is clear the Russia doesn't have the capacity to invade the Baltics over the next two years at least, even if the Belarusians participated.
All of this becomes even harder if the Russians are gifted Ukraine and have to occupy it militarily.
You are describing citizenship. Most countries allow long term residence (>3 months) with lower requirements. It's often easiest to look for work first, if you are competitively skilled, or are looking somewhere with labour shortages, as sponsorship makes it easier.
Canadians feel the same.
Trump's not going to need to apply tarifs.
Biden has both Russia and China on the back foot with failing economies, and significant social unrest. Both are desperate to make a deal with Trump. Trump only succeeds in negotiation when he can bully his adversary.
If Biden had the faculties, he could have whipped both countries and probably avoided this mess.
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yeah, you could be right.