this post was submitted on 29 May 2024
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politics

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[–] [email protected] 98 points 5 months ago (4 children)

One challenge for the jury is the unusual layering of charges: The charges against Mr. Trump are felonies because prosecutors say he falsified the records to cover up another crime.

It's the coverup that gets you, not the crime.

If he'd have just cut her a check directly, none of this would be happening.

It's going to be insane if what brings trump down is that he underestimated what his voters would handwave away.

I don't think he'd have lost a single vote if he just admitted he paid a pornstar for sex. Hell, with the way Republicans act he probably would have gained votes.

[–] [email protected] 51 points 5 months ago (1 children)

I don't think he'd have lost a single vote if he just admitted he paid a pornstar for sex. Hell, with the way Republicans act he probably would have gained votes.

In hindsight, this is absolutely true. At the time, however, on the heels of the Access Hollywoo tape, it may have been a one-two knockout. Unfortunately, as we have since learned, anything Republicans say or do is perfectly fine with their voters. The political process in the US is forever changed for the worse.

[–] [email protected] 25 points 5 months ago (2 children)

anything Republicans say or do is perfectly fine with their voters.

No. Anything Donald Trump says or does is fine with their voters. Other members of the GOP aren't always given such leeway. See Kristi Noem as a prime example. There are limits, but only for those not named Trump.

[–] [email protected] 27 points 5 months ago (2 children)

Noem felt confident enough to talk about shooting her dog, and then double down on it after the backlash, and still has a career as an elected politician. She will be elected to the Governor's office in South Dakota again, and handily.

I agree that there are still limits for Republicans not named Trump (Noem is less likely to be Trump's VP pick, for example), but even those limits are wildly more lenient than they've ever been in US politics.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Yep. IOKIYAR. A Democrat would have been hounded by everyone across the spectrum, including their own party, until they stepped down.

My favorite example is: Al Franken. Guy made a goofy pose - was made to step down, and even to this day, there are certain women that will fly off the handle at the mere mention of...Al Franken.

Ronald McDonald BRAGS about sexually assaulting women, brags about busting into dressing rooms of underage women at "his" pageant, is credibly accused of actual rape, and....he still has a political career and virtually no one in his party is hounding him to step down, step aside, etc.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 5 months ago

... is credibly accused of actual rape, ...

Was found liable for sexual assault which is colloquially known as rape.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Noem felt confident enough to talk about shooting her dog, and then double down on it after the backlash, and still has a career as an elected politician. She will be elected to the Governor’s office in South Dakota again, and handily.

I don't follow South Dakota politics, so I'll have to take your word on that. I know she's been banned from every tribal land in the state; how does that impact her re-election chances? Does losing the Native American vote matter enough? And what about the possibility of another Republican rising up and challenging her? (I know there's no chance in hell of a Democrat winning in SD.)

I agree that there are still limits for Republicans not named Trump (Noem is less likely to be Trump’s VP pick, for example), but even those limits are wildly more lenient than they’ve ever been in US politics.

Oh, absolutely. But even after taking that into consideration, the "limits" for Trump, if there even are any, are even more wildly lenient. Noem at least somewhat hit the limit with the controversy about shooting her dog. If it were Trump, he'd rile everybody up and convince them that the entire breed needs to be exterminated.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 5 months ago

Repubs see her banned by groups they despise and understand that as her making them angry and "owning the libs."

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

I think it varies wildly with republicans. They very nearly elected a known pedophile in one election (not talking about trump).

[–] [email protected] 33 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (3 children)

I don't think he'd have lost a single vote if he just admitted he paid a pornstar for sex. Hell, with the way Republicans act he probably would have gained votes.

This might be where his insistence on denying everything finally backfires on him. Because if he didn't deny that it happened, the Prosecution would not have needed to bring Daniels onto the stand. While the act itself is not a crime, his insistence on having his lawyers deny it, in the face of graphic evidence, will serve to convince the jury that he is a liar, and make them less likely to find his other explanations credible.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

I think the nail in the coffin is really gonna be Michael Cohen‘s testimony. Maga world made such a big deal of calling him a liar, but the trial made it very clear that he was Trump’s liar. He lied for Trump, and the evidence corroborates that, as do the witnesses that the defense called.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 5 months ago (1 children)

I'll go so far as to say that if he had just admitted that the sex happened, he'd walk.

Let's be realistic. No amount of jury instructions can override basic human nature. And I'd be willing to bet that almost nobody on that jury cared about anything other than the testimony of Stormy Daniels and Michael Cohen. Had Trump just acknowledged that the sex happened, there would be no reason to put Daniels on the stand and the jury would be going into deliberations over a whole bunch of boring facts and technicalities that could cure insomnia. Instead, they're going in there with a vision of an orange man with a mushroom dick in his boxers being spanked with a magazine seared into their heads. Her testimony was (a) largely irrelevant relative to what he's been charged with, and (b) will be given outsized weight with the jury just because of the scandalous details she gave. Right or wrong, that's just human nature. Keep her off the stand and you've got a case that's about as exciting as the ingredients on a tube of toothpaste.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 5 months ago (1 children)

If he admits on stand that sex happened, I wonder Melania’s lawyers will get ready to null and void her prenup and take half of his estate. Mathematically speaking, half of 0 is still 0.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 5 months ago (1 children)

She's not going anywhere. If she splits, she's off the gravy train. Right now, she can still spend his money while he still has it. She knows she'll never get a dime from a prenup because he'll stiff her just like he does everybody else, and tie the case up for years when she sues him.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 months ago

That’s the thing. Imagine what wonders she can do when Donnie goes to jail for any of his treasons and on top of that she suddenly gets prenup null and voided for cheating - she doesn’t have to fight for his property with his creditors, legitimate and illegitimate children, pornstars, Russian mafia, and any number of lackeys who want replace him.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 5 months ago

I wish I had your confidence that he'll face any consequences. I don't think his supporters know anything about the trial, other than it's "a deeply unfair politically motivated witch trial in a kangaroo court".

I'm just hoping that the remainder of voters aren't too far gone and realize what a POS he is. The polling being as close as it is concerns me.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 months ago

A lot of people do think he's on trial simply for paying a prostitute; they don't care. Check out a few MAGA interviews on YouTube.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 5 months ago

If he'd have just cut her a check directly, none of this would be happening.

Yes, but he used campaign funds, because he's a cheap bastard, and he didn't report it.

[–] [email protected] 76 points 5 months ago (1 children)

i'm extremely pessimistic that any single thing that should happen actually will happen

[–] [email protected] 41 points 5 months ago (1 children)

I'm betting they find him guilty of enough items that would lock any of us up for the rest of our lives. I'd also bet he will not spend any time in jail.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago (1 children)

That's fine, so long as it barrs him from running. I'll take small steps to fix shit for now. We can accelerate after we oust this jackass.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago

You can run for office as a felon, you just can’t vote. I’m not sure that there’s any way a criminal trial would bar him from running. Hell he could even run from prison.

[–] [email protected] 68 points 5 months ago (2 children)

Just watched trumps little tirade during a break in the trial and he said "even mother Teresa couldn't beat these charges..."

Sounds like it's going great!

[–] [email protected] 48 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Remember when mother Teresa paid a pornstar to keep her mouth shut while she was running for election? Yeah, I heard she couldn’t beat those charges in a court of law.

[–] [email protected] 25 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

Mother Teresa was a horrible person who reveled in the suffering of others while avoiding suffering herself.

His statement is truer than he knows if he's comparing himself to her.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 5 months ago (1 children)

That is a gross oversimplification of Mother Teresa. I’m no fan of hers, but let’s dislike her for truthful reasons rather than exaggerations.

She never reveled in anyone’s suffering, though she did remark that suffering brings us closer to God, which I would consider an unhelpful stance at best.

She ran multiple hospice care centers because no one was doing anything and people were just dying in the street. She had extremely limited resources and could only provide limited medical care as she wasn’t a doctor and again, I say this with intended emphasis, literally no one else was doing anything to help.

She saw unimaginable suffering and did everything in her power to reduce that suffering to the extent of her ability and resources, which was far more than anyone else was doing.

I don’t think she’s a saint, but I think her goals and efforts were laudable even if her beliefs and methods were less than ideal.

This Wikipedia page highlights the controversy surrounding the quality of medical care, but also shares the counter argument, which is that they struggled with the same problems as the rest of healthcare in India and were treating people no one else would.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago (1 children)

They weren't treating them they were refusing treatments for people under their care. Saying suffering brings u closer to God and then inflicting and or prolonging that suffering makes her a shitty person.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Source?

Even in the critical article in the wikipedia, they noted that they were giving limited treatment to the best of their ability. Their ability, however was lacking. To say that they denied treatment to encourage suffering is a far cry from the harshest criticism I’ve come across from anyone who actually witnessed their facilities.

Again, I’m not a fan of Teresa. If there’s more evidence of what you’re saying, that’s totally valid, I’ve just not seen it myself and I did some digging myself just to make sure of what I was talking about.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 5 months ago

Some people just exist to shit on other people for no particular reason except to shit on people...

[–] [email protected] 15 points 5 months ago

What does that mean? Like the crimes are so bad and blatant that they wouldn't give anyone a pass?

[–] [email protected] 34 points 5 months ago (1 children)

His "first criminal trial",does the heart good.

Looking forward to the sequels

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago

If he wins, they'll be cancelled. Ironic, since the cons claim to hate cancel culture so much.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Calling it, they won't do shit to him. If they do, I might have some faith.

But after two impeachments, he practically gets away with nearly everything.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 5 months ago (1 children)

In those impeachment, though, he had the protection of 40+ Republican Senators who were afraid of how voting against their guy would affect their reelection. Here, his fate is being decided by 12 Manhattanites who have never met him and have been instructed to set aside their personal opinions on the matter.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 5 months ago

and have been instructed to set aside their personal opinions on the matter

I know there's a jury selection process for this but I feel like it would still be difficult to do

[–] [email protected] 9 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Hung Jury in about 4 days. Juror 2 was a plant.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 5 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 6 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Juror 2 is an investment banker that gets all his news from Twitter and Truth Social. I don't know how they let him sit in on this one.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 5 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 11 points 5 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 10 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

From this article it sounds like that's not all his news sources and the Truth stuff was through a repost bot. He also said he followed Michael Cohen.

Second juror: ‘I’ll try to keep an open mind’ The second juror is a married man who works in investment banking.

His hobbies include hiking, music and concerts, and he said he reads “basically everything” — including Trump’s Truth Social posts through an account that reposts them on the social platform X.

The man also said he follows Michael Cohen, Trump’s ex-fixer who made the hush money payment at the center of the case, on X, but he assured Trump’s attorney he would be able to put aside any opinions about Cohen.

“I’ll try to keep an open mind,” the man told prosecutors during questioning.

https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/4612102-meet-trump-hush-money-criminal-trial-jury/

Sus for sure, but he's not actually on Truth. Seems like an extremely risky juror though. Kind of odd that he says he reads "basically everything", but apparently only if it's posted on Twitter, and only Truth deserved mention in the media consumption questionnaire.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 5 months ago

"Reads everything" sound like someone who's "rejected MSM". As soon as some actually uses MSM in communication I know I can check out of that conversation and they've detached from reality.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 5 months ago (1 children)

How would you even pick an impartial jury in a trial like this

[–] [email protected] 10 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

You ask these questions let the lawyers sift through the answers, and then toss out people they don't like. You also excuse anybody who thinks they won't be impartial, or who is doxxed in the right-wing press and starts getting death threats.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago (1 children)

The link you sent is broke :(

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago

Still working just fine for me here. It's a PDF of the questionnaire handed out to the jury.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 5 months ago
[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 months ago

Tick Tock Donald