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this post was submitted on 29 Apr 2025
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On Jan 1st, the 3 major canada-wide parties were:
On May 1st the 3 major parties will be:
NDP aren't even a major party anymore with 7 seats, sadly
They're not an "official party", but they still got 6% of the vote. But, because of FPTP they only got 2% of the seats. Bloc Quebecois got 6.4% of the vote and 6.7% of the seats. There are still a lot of people out there who would want to vote NDP, but who voted Liberal to achieve "anybody but Conservative". The plan worked, but I think they'd like some electoral reform.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4jd39g8y1o
I completely agree to be clear.
But "major party" means something in election parlance, and unfortunately because of all the required strategic voting, it means NDP won't be at the next debate.
Much of BC was lost through three-way ties that the blues won by a nose. It seems that, for some ridings, strategy wasn't strong enough.
If two Oranges 'cross' to Red to give Mark a mandate, can they 'cross' back before the next election?
Yeah I hope the fact that both the NDP and the LPC got screwed in BC on so many ridings causes their hopeful coalition government to actually implement voting reform this time.
Liberal, Conservative, Bloc, other.
That's why I carefully worded it "canada-wide parties". If it were just big parties by vote, you'd definitely be right. In fact, Bloc is the only big party that came through the last few months with their leader intact.
Canada, Separatist, Separatist, Canada?
Pierre Poilievre likely to stay as party leader since he's very popular with the base. Unless someone like Doug Ford decides to fight him for the position.
Pierre is very not popular - when Trudeau quit he had a higher approval rating than Pierre. People this time were voting for the party, not for Pierre.
He's not popular overall, but he's very popular with the conversative base.
The election results (and polling on leader specifically) do not back that claim up.
I'm talking about apples you are talking about oranges. Look at polling for conversative support for Pierre Poilievre or party leader elections where he got 68.15%.
This is far from unpopular. I believe it's a lot highter than many previous conservative party leaders