this post was submitted on 17 Apr 2025
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The National Guard most definitely is NOT his. It is absolutely clear that the commander-in-chief of the national Guard is the State Governor. Trump is nowhere in the command chain. Under no circumstances does the National Guard have to obey Trump. Never has obeyed a President, never will.
I love your optimism here, but it's naive to believe that after everything that the president has done to date that is blatantly illegal and he has no authority to do that he will not somehow coopt the National Guard under some bullshit 200 year old law that was never meant to give him this power. Or fuck laws - he has shown his entire career a complete disregard for them and thinks he is completely unbound by the law - and he just does it anyways. Republicans in congress have proven over the last 3 months that they'll happily cede the power their constituents entrusted them with to their dictator. What makes you think he won't make the governors bend to his will? Republican first, then by force for the rest.
You seem to have absolutely no grasp of the situation, but instead are just following populist mythology. The only power Trump has, is in the willingness of those around him to obey his dictates. The only direct 'power' he has that he can enforce is the power over Federal agencies under his jurisdiction. An executive order applies only to agencies that come under his direct federal control. The citizens of the United States do not, unless they are employed by the Federal institutions, have to obey nor are they bound by an Executive Order, except to the extent that they physically interact with a Federal agent. The Tariff is collected by Federal agents, under Trump's command. Trump can order them to collect the tariff. At some point, the individual States will by-pass the Federal tax collecting system and start keeping the Federal taxes for themselves. The individual States will at dome point direct State officials and State businesses and corporations to submit ALL taxes paid or collected by them to the State. Trump has absolutely no control over anything, including State laws or the non-federal courts, State troopers, or police) that come under strictly State control, and they have demonstrated that under no circumstances are they going to give Trump control to do so.
Believe me, you will not read 'optimism' into anything I say about America. It is doomed, it is finished, it is over. What I am saying is HOW it will end. It will be nothing short of a direct confrontation between individual State and Federal control. And the national Guard is strictly State control, the individual State will never give that up. The command chain in the National Guard will simply ignore Trump's commands.
There has always been a battle between State and Federal control in America. That is what Civil War 1.0 was all about. Texas, particularly, will never bend to allowing Trump to over-rule the State legislature. Texas is. probably, the most secessionist-prone state in America. "Ignoring the Law" goes in both directions.