this post was submitted on 13 Nov 2023
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Technology
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I fully agree, but to think XR is not going to be the next computing platform is a little surprising. A little as I remember a lot of people saying they would never carry a computer around with them too.
Vr is a fancy display tech for niche games. It's at best another lane in the console war.
AR, actual ar with light fields is not feasible. The tech will never get there. It's just too computionally expensive and the optics don't pan out.
Never get there? What would make you say that in the face of constant technological progress? It is for sure going to come and Meta and others already have light field display prototypes that they are trying to shrink down. Just a matter of time. VR/AR/MR are all going to be just one device and games will be as big a segment on it as they are on flat screens which is to say, only a smalll slice.
Technological progress is not generalizable in the abstract. For hundreds of years human built faster and faster means of transportation and yet the record for fastest human vehicle remains 1969 appollo 10 mission.
There are hard limits to physics. It is not malleable without limit.
Magic leap said they were going to shrink down their light field tech a decade ago but gave up. The reality is that this technology may just not be physically possible.