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Don’t believe the hype: AGI is far from inevitable (www.ru.nl)

submitted 1 month ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ml/post/20858435

Will AI soon surpass the human brain? If you ask employees at OpenAI, Google DeepMind and other large tech companies, it is inevitable. However, researchers at Radboud University and other institutes show new proof that those claims are overblown and unlikely to ever come to fruition. Their findings are published in Computational Brain & Behavior today.

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[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Let's put it this way: If in our lifetime we can simulate the intelligence of a vinegar fly as general intelligence, that would be a monumental landmark in AGI. And we're far, far, far away from it.

As far as the iron age was from the metal alloys used in the Space Shuttle.

Talking about AGI simulating higher intelligence at the level of a dog or a cat, dear I say a pigeon or a crow is as far fetched as expecting ancient Egyptians to harness the power of the atom.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Let's put it this way: If in our lifetime we can simulate the intelligence of a vinegar fly as general intelligence, that would be a monumental landmark in AGI. And we're far, far, far away from it.

I get what you mean here and I agree with it, if we're talking about current "AI", which isn't anywhere close. I know, because I've programmed some simple "AIs" (Mainly ML models) myself.

But your comparison to ancient egypt is somewhat lacking, considering we had the aptly named dark ages between then and now.

Lot's of knowledge got lost all the time during humanity's history, but ever since the printing press, and more recently the internet, came into existence, this problem has all but disappeared. As long as humanity doesn't nuke itself back to said dark ages, I recon we aren't that far away from AGI, or at least something close to it. Maybe not in my lifetime, but another ~2000 years seems a little extreme.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago

I recommend this thread btw https://www.reddit.com/r/AskHistory/comments/18ydzok/has_the_term_dark_ages_truly_become_an_obsolete/

Nothing to do with the rest of your comment.