this post was submitted on 27 Aug 2024
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No Stupid Questions

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I asked someone this question before and they said it was a really stupid question and I'm not sure why so thought I would ask it here...

What's going to happen when AI becomes really advanced? Is there a plan for what all of the displaced people are going to do? Like for example administrative assistance, receptionist, cashiers, office workers, White collar people. Is there going to be some sort of retraining program of some sort to get people cross-trained into other careers like nursing or other careers that have not yet been automated? Or are people just going to lose their homes, be evicted and is there going to be like some sort of mass eviction and homelessness downstream effect because people can't find any work?

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[–] [email protected] 71 points 2 months ago (1 children)

The reason your someone might have thought this was a stupid question is because

  • there is no evidence that AGI is imminent or even possible
  • current tech labeled as AI is really limited in very boring ways, like LLMs

If some thing gets sold as an AGI, it will be a Mechanical Turk, As in, it will be a magic trick that actually uses human laborers like Amazon's "AI Store" where you just walk out with your purchases. "If it works, it's mechanical turks."

[–] [email protected] -3 points 2 months ago (2 children)

AGI isn't possible? You will need some proof for that.

Computers are already faster and more reliable than humans in lots of things, whe shouldn't they be better tomorrow?

[–] [email protected] 10 points 2 months ago (1 children)

My very limited understanding, is simply that LLMs are not an early iteration of AGI.

In the same way automobiles are not an early iteration of aeroplanes. They use some of the same tech but before there were aeroplanes no one really knew what was possible.

It's true that computers get faster and more amazing, but that's not an indication that AGI is possible.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 months ago (1 children)

True, but that doesn't mean AGI isn't possible. We already have wetware thats very intelligent for example.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 months ago (1 children)

I don't think it's possible to demonstrate whether or not AGI will be possible until it exists in some form.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Why?

Computers are getting smarter and smarter so why not?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Because there is no evidence that it is possible.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 months ago (1 children)

No one said there was evidence for it, you're just goalpost-moving.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 months ago

My comment is a reference to the well known axiom that you can not provide evidence for a negative. It's not possible to provide evidence that AGI is not possible, we must content ourselves with the lack of evidence that it is possible.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 2 months ago (1 children)

He's saying there's no proof it is. Like there's no proof of God. Doesn't mean it isn't magically possible but in our reality there isn't a defined way. If there was we'd be there.