this post was submitted on 14 Aug 2024
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Just be careful and look well at the data, states that non-election forcasting nerds would consider not be swing states still have a >10% chance of going the other way according to the best statistical models.
So if you live in: Texas, Ohio, South and North Carolina (R), or New Mexico, Colorado, Oregon, Virginia, Minnesota, New Hampshire (D)
You still live in a state that has a statistically significant chance of going either way >10%.
However, if you live in Washington DC, or Wyoming, by all means…
Indiana went for Obama in '08. Weird things happen!