this post was submitted on 12 Jul 2024
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Political Memes

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

Discussion aside, wtaf is boingboing.net? I'm even hesitant to click that link.

  • Reliable pollsters are accurate albeit snapshots in time.

  • Aggregate reliable polls even more so.

  • Nate Silver's algorithm is over 90% accurate in its prediction model across thousands of races over the years.

  • Cook Political Report is the gold standard.

  • Even internal polls reported by democratic Congressional campaigns as well as the President's team themselves admit they're behind.

  • They were 10 points up at this time in 2020.

  • If you aren't going off this, what ARE you going off of, vibes? In one breath you say don't put stock in polls, then point to an outlier? I mean, what!?

So you can't comfort me saying that when Biden should've come out 1 step ahead from that debate, he is not maybe only 1 step back as he has been for ages, but possibly 2 steps back.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 months ago (1 children)

How do you not know boingboing.net?

Anyway, that's not the source, but Rawstory doesn't allow ad-blockers, so I linked that synopsis.

https://www.rawstory.com/rs-exclusive/biden-debate-2668724330/

None of those, including my link, is accurate enough to really matter, especially this far from the election.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Thanks. Yeah I genuinely never heard of that site in my life. Seems like it's been around since forever, too.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 months ago

To be fair, it used to be a much better, more relevant site, which I only remember because I've been around since forever too.