this post was submitted on 28 Jun 2024
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What is the over under on the return of Hilldog?
I find it almost impossible to believe they will continue running Biden, but then again I did not expect them to let him run again from the start.
She's fried toast. She's been trying to raise her profile but she doesn't poll well at all. If they went with her suddenly, it would be worse than staying with Biden. Newsom is probably the highest profile person who could feasibly replace Biden now. Unfortunately at this point parties don't tend to take extra risk so it would be a straight white man with just the right amount of gray in his hair and in their political prime.
The real problem they face, if they want to switch Biden out, is convincing the governor of California to resign to run. He has 3 years left on his term. But he's also term limited so he could go for it.
Seems all but impossible they'll switch candidates now. There's not a mechanism for it. It would have to be something like Biden having a major medical issue or dying.
I think we all just watched Biden have a major medical issue
Democrats can name anyone as candidate at the convention in August. Biden being the candidate isn’t official yet.
Those don’t seem implausible based on my watching half the debate… Biden was struggling to get anything out(and it wasn’t just stutter, he seemed to not be in the room part of the time) and trump just vomited lies and non answers constant
That is technically a mechanism. I'm wondering if Biden, Trump, or both experience some incredibly bizzare....accident...before November.
Idk if it even needs to be complicated. With Biden it could be every bit as simple as "Oh wow, look, he died in his sleep. NEXT!". He looks rough. Wouldn't take much.
I think they'd nominate Newsom over Clinton tbh.