this post was submitted on 09 Mar 2024
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Exactly. His relationship with the US is just as cynical as it is with Russia, and as it is with any country or people (including his own). He will do or say anything that gets him more power. That means he'll be a solid US ally as long as the US is completely stable and functional, and he will take advantage of any weakness (like he did with Trump letting him murder Kurds in Syria).
I think we're in violent agreement about the overall with perhaps subtle difference in the details.
Yeah I think we only slightly disagree on the amount the Erdogan will stick with America. To me it feels like he will never oppose them until America reaches a clear losing position.
Though America did likely try to replace him with Gulen in 2016 so you might be right that Erdogan is still volatile.