this post was submitted on 06 Jan 2024
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[–] [email protected] -1 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

Well Russia hasn’t managed to destroy Ukraine’s existing manufacturing capacity

they have though

Minister of Strategic Industries Kamyshin claimed a twenty-fold increase in artillery shell production over 2023 a couple of months ago

they can claim whatever they want for propaganda, in the real world we can observe their artillery shortages and failed offensives

despite Ukraine’s lack of a real airforce, has not been able to successfully establish air superiority

you don't need air superiority to destroy a factory, please put aside the wishful thinking for 5 minutes if you can

troops can retreat, equipment can be relocated somewhere else, a factory is a static building that you CANNOT MOVE, no matter how much air defense you put near it eventually a missile, drone or shell will go through and damage/destroy it

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Russia is one of the biggest artillery manufacturers and stockpilers in the entire world and even they're suffering some shell constraints. There is a lot of space between "literally all the ammunition you could want" and "zero ammunition", especially in a conflict like this. Both sides are fighting in a way that will eat basically any volume of artillery ammunition that is available. So no, shell constraints do not indicate a totally destroyed domestic industry.

a factory is a static building that you CANNOT MOVE

That's why you don't build it near the front line. Ukraine is big. Russian aircraft attacking a factory in Kyiv or even further west would have to spend absolutely ages in extremely hostile airspace.