It was not a prediction of victory... it was a 71% chance of winning the electoral college. Said another way, they gave her a 29% chance of losing.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
tko
joined 1 year ago
I agree... I was simply clarifying that Nate Silver did NOT predict that Hillary would win (nor is he predicting that Trump will win this election), which is a common misunderstanding about probability. For these types of models to be meaningful to the public, there needs to be literacy on what is meant by the percentages given. Really, I'm just reinforcing rodneylives' point from another angle!
I don't remember him predicting that she would win. His model (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/) gave her a 71% chance of winning. 71% is a long way from 100%, and the result of that election definitely fit within the model.
That said, you are absolutely correct... we need to keep shining a light on the realities of each of these candidates, because in the light of day Biden is a much better choice than Trump.
Stop j'terrorizing me!
Depending on what exactly you're looking for, Photostructure might be a good option. It's got a great UI for viewing photos, and it's meant to play well with other Metadata software.
I don't think I'd call them assholes... more just shortsighted about the realities of selling an album, specifically in how you refer to the album both in speech and in writing.
There's lots of youtube content on this subject... here's a decent jumping off point, if you're interested: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Nw6qyyrTeI
I have server2 (which replaced server1). I also have 'nvr1'.
Understood, but OP mentioned that he wanted something without a backup camera, so that's why I was asking for clarification.
My favorite is plain old wordle.
This game is not fun. It's not at all clear how the words relate, to the point where I got a top 10 word in the first 10 guesses, and it still took over 100 guesses to find the keyword.
I found it to be an unrewarding waste of time.
Indeed. A wise wizard once said: "It is a curious thing, Harry, but perhaps those who are best suited to power are those who have never sought it."