It's silly, you're just thinking that somehow this time will be different.
it’s a tactic which relies on public trends, and we are not trend chasers, we are niche users.
Maybe you are, but most people aren't. With XMPP, I was similar, running my own server. I didn't jump to GTalk, but it still ended up with me shutting it down after I ended up to be the only person on my rooster.
WHY?
Would YOU really jump into Threads?
I don't, but I'm not the most people. I didn't jump with XMPP, but it still killed it for me.
Who is this person that you imagine that dropped Facebook and Twitter, but will jump right back as soon as they so much as see it again.
Such a person wouldn’t even be here to begin with, They would already be there.
I think you believe that everyone on fediverse is for the same reason as you are. Though I even doubt that, it's ironic, since you're here for 9 months, so you arrived here because of the API change. Don't you think if it was about principle you would be here much earlier than that? Add to it that you're still quite active on reddit, so you're lying to yourself and (at least from the outside) it looks like likely you would be one of those people.
Looking at the T I'm convinced it is shopped.