You're an adult who believes in fairy tales and follows the selected writings of people who had no other way of explaining the world. Christianity is hateful, patriarchal, and along with other major organized religions, responsible for most of the pain and suffering in the world.
The leadership get revelations directly from god. In a weird coincidence, many of the revelations (like that black people aren't demons) come at times when societal pressure is overwhelming or they are getting bad press. god apparently has very good timing.
They have a 50/50 chance each round. Doesn't matter how many rounds they've won.