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Bernie Sanders draws 10,000 supporters to Warren for a ‘Fight Oligarchy’ rally.
(www.newsfromthestates.com)
this post was submitted on 09 Mar 2025
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Isn't it 1.5% for the popular vote for the whole country or just winning the right swing states would have taken 1.5% more votes?
Edit: see my analysis down there, she needed an extra 0.15% votes in her favor, she just needed those votes in three States, the 1.5% number is for the National vote which has no influence on who becomes president, as we've seen when Trump won while Hillary got 2.1% more votes.
Ohhh that’s really interesting thanks
The actual swing states all went Republican so they're in red. There's a bunch of combinations for an Harris win (electoral college went R312, D226) but Pennsylvania + Michigan + Wisconsin = Harris win, D270, R268 and it's the option with the closest results in %
If we look at the results in those states she needed 80k votes in Michigan, 120k votes in Pennsylvania and 30k views in Wisconsin.
That's 230k votes that were missing for her to win.
155 238 302 votes in total With the 230k votes that were missing added to that it's 155 468 302 votes, which is 0.15% more votes than the current total.
That's how close this race got if we look at the electoral system and compare it to the total votes. But obviously per swing states the % is different...
All of that to say, the 1.5% number is for the National vote, which doesn't have any influence in US elections.
which is still the highest margin since 2016. IIRC it was less than 150K for 2016 and well below 100K for 2020.
Wow thank you - super interesting dive