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conditional probability (mander.xyz)

submitted 2 weeks ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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[–] [email protected] 10 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

That was an interesting read but it's not the math per encounter. They strangely used lifetime stats and ignored number of encounters so it doesn't answer that question.

Some of the other commenters who point out flaws in the math seem to get their comments deleted or downvoted so that doesn't help. It's a controversial topic which makes it really hard to just crunch numbers without being accused of picking a side or trying to skew the results.

Coming up with the stat that 10% of men will commit a rape in their lifetimes is wild though, and super sad if true.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

The person doing the analysis also takes a statistic about intimate partner rape including where the woman believes actual rape happened and where the woman felt like he might have tried to, then immediately casts it as actual rapes against strangers by serial street rapists.

It's not in the least credible