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As a non-american, somehow this article rubs me the wrong way. I have a suspicion that all the talk about public relation disasters and staffers worried about their candidate‘s reputation does not accurately portrait what is really going on there. To me it looks like everything that happened including the MSG shitshow was absolutely the way they wanted it to go. It's a page out of the fascist playbook and it uses the same tactics that have been proven successful since Germany 1933. The explicit goal is to strengthen the collective bonds with voters who already made their decision and to kick it up a notch at the same time. They don't give a shit about angering Puerto Rican voters or even maintaining a modicum of decency in general. They are trying to provoke a mania in their own base that spirals out of control and so far it works pretty well for them. This is an endgame strategy. The only thing that is not going according to plan is that their candidate is falling apart mentally and it's a race against time to get him back into office. Or is it, Mr. Vance?
I could of course be completely wrong on this and I would be more than happy to be proven wrong.
Actually, that feeling of being rubbed the wrong way (even in the metaphorical sense) is inherently subjective. So, it's not something I or anyone else can disprove to you or "prove wrong".
I guess, it seems like a whitewashing here, that the folks on the campaign aren't as evil as we'd otherwise assume (e.g. all of them being racist Nazis)?
You're correct that we shouldn't assume otherwise - it'd be dangerous to bend over backwards and assume they aren't Nazis if they really are - but at the same time, it's plausible that there are still some "adults in the room" in the campaign, along the lines of https://www.vox.com/world/2018/3/14/17114444/rex-tillerson-fired-rexit-trump-adults
I think the reason this sounds reasonable is because a lot of the folks on the GOP campaign are longtime GOP folks, who know - or at least have certain long-held beliefs about - how this conventionally works.
The other aspect at play here is that they jumped onto MAGA for entirely self serving purposes even though this doesn't reflect what they really thing.
Interesting you bring him up. In some ways he's the perfect example of this.
Vance in 2012,
Source: https://web.archive.org/web/20140305032241/http://centerforworldconflictandpeace.blogspot.com/2012_11_01_archive.html via https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/17/politics/jd-vance-delete-2012-blog-post-attacking-gop-anti-immigrant-rhetoric/index.html
Vance in 2024,
Source: https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/jd-vance-haitians-if-i-have-to-create-stories-1235102572/
I think this best describes the candidate. But not everyone on the campaign is going to share these views, as it were.
But this is not really how one wins. You need a broad coalition backing you to win - playing to a smaller base may make them feel good, but it's not going to bring enough folks backing you to the polls on election day. And again a lot of the folks on the GOP campaign are longtime GOP folks, who know how this conventionally works, so this mean they'd have the understanding (correct or not) that this not the direction a winning GOP campaign should take.
Citation needed. In fact there's some evidence that (after a delay in the polling to reflect the latest updates and information) this really hurt them. See for example, https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/ or https://www.axios.com/2024/11/03/harris-iowa-poll-trump-women or even https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_harris_49_trump_48_in_michigan
I'd argue that part of the strategy is for the candidate to campaign with the "principles of restraint and competence" to ensure his re-election. Only then can he do his damage.
Expose this too early and they have the issues I noted above.
Hmm .. perhaps he's failing to restrain himself and exposing this ugly side early, specifically because he's falling apart mentally? Thus screwing up his own campaign's endgame?
Hey, thanks for the long and thorough reply. I'm a bit overwhelmed :)
This is exactly where my doubts come from. The whole piece has the air of “conventional politics“ but at the same time, from an outside perspective, it looks like the whole party has been thoroughly streamlined towards their leader in the past 8 years. And a cult of MAGA would probably not resemble much of traditional politics. It will be interesting to see if they can put a lid on it and return to politics that at the very least appears less crazy and unhinged in case Trump loses the election.
True, but who is Trump going to convince to switch sides a week before the election? You might as well turn up the rhetoric to 11 and say the quiet part out loud, in order to convince your own base to vote for you.
This is a slippery slope of course, and the outcome could either be losing people with this radicalisation or making sure even more radical people who did not plan to vote show up at the booth. And to deter people from voting for someone else, out of fear. Also, even if it was possible for Trump to extend a hand and suddenly appear reasonable who would believe him after all that happened? I guess he doesn't have a choice but take the route of last-minute radicalisation. We'll see how this turns out. Personally I am so sick of seeing the orange conman dominate public discourse worldwide for eight years in a row. It is time to move on and I can only hope the majority of Americans has had enough too.
Wanted to add - not directly related to the above article, but kinda confirming the general environment:
This is from https://www.rawstory.com/michelle-obama-vs-trump/ but it's a series of direct quotes from the guy himself.