this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2024
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[–] [email protected] 44 points 1 month ago (2 children)

I see this as a push for Allred more than thinking Harris will win the state.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 month ago (2 children)

I have a tough time imagining left-leaning voters would vote for Allred and not Harris, so that would require right-leaning voters casting votes for Trump but not Cruz. And I can't envision that being a common enough scenario to split the state-wide vote like that.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Do not underestimate how much some people (even in Texas) hate Ted Cruz. I can totally see a ticket split there.

I mean, if Beto "Psychedelic Warlord" O'Rourke can almost win there after threatening to grab everyone's guns, then there must be a lot of people looking for any alternative to Cruz.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago

Except Beto never mentioned the gun buyback program or AR-15s or anything about guns until 2019 - the year AFTER he lost to Cruz.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

I am in Texas, and I do hate Ted Cruz. But in 2020 we saw Trump underperform down-ballot races. We would have to see him outperform them this year and we now have the fallout from Dobbs motivating voters in favor of Harris. What issues would make someone vote for Trump and not Cruz?

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago (2 children)

A lot of Trump voters vote for Trump and then leave the rest of the ballot blank. My ballot was 74 pages and Texas eliminated party line voting.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago

... Your ballot was 74 pages? How? My city makes a big deal when we have to use the back of the 1 sheet of 11x18 paper. Granted we have off year elections in our state, so things are a little more divided, but that's a long way from a 74 page short story of a ballot

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

But Trump underperformed down-ballot in 2020. People showed up to vote for all the other Republicans but then not for him.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 month ago (1 children)

If enough people make it to the polls, she could win.

Hillary lost by 5% of registered voters (800,000 votes), Biden by 3.5% of registered voters (~630,000 votes).

From what I've seen the first day of early voting (yesterday) was breaking records with over 45,000 votes cast in Travis County (Austin, TX) and Dallas cast over 55,000 votes. We just need the momentum to continue.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 month ago (2 children)

I voted yesterday in a packed blue district. It was crowded, which is good, but there was a notable absence of young voters, which is bad. Hopefully, this just means that experienced voters are more likely to vote on the first day of early voting and first time voters can be convinced to go to the polls before or on election day.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 month ago

It's also a school day, so they may have been in class. At least that's what I'm hoping. Most, of not all, of my polling places are open 7AM-7PM this Saturday and 11AM-5PM this Sunday. I imagine the younger voters will be more able to vote then between college classes and jobs.

The first week of voting also has shorter hours (at least 9 hours required by law) versus the second week with polls open at least 12 hours a day. Those longer hours are going to be more compatible with those holding multiple jobs or school/job.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

young voters are probably checking Google maps to see when is a good time to avoid the line