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I don't see disagree about what you said regarding the polls, but by that same token, the fact that they are in a virtual tie should read to you she has a way to win just as she is.
Harris needs to be +5 in the aggregate of national polling to be tied. Her being in a virtual tie, is her losing badly. This is just established fact as a function of the American electoral system.
If only there was a prominent issue she could change on that would net a +5 swing in her favor...
If only there were some block of voters, who are still "uncommitted", that she could offer a concession to get them to commit...
The polling in question is based on electoral math.