this post was submitted on 13 Oct 2024
67 points (97.2% liked)

Ukraine

8153 readers
796 users here now

News and discussion related to Ukraine

*Sympathy for enemy combatants in any form is prohibited.

*No content depicting extreme violence or gore.


Donate to support Ukraine's Defense

Donate to support Humanitarian Aid


founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS
 

Загальні бойові втрати противника з 24.02.22 по 13.10.24 (орієнтовно)

t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/17922

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (1 children)

This news site usually has a graph with the loss percentage of the initial total and how much of the initial total is active vs reserve.

https://euromaidanpress.com/2024/10/12/russo-ukrainian-war-day-962-north-korean-troops-train-in-russia-for-potential-ukraine-deployment/

To answer your question, the chart shows it to be ~6,120 total artillery systems left. At a loss of 50 a day (assuming they don't tailor down their use as they lose availability [massive assumption]), they should completely run out in about 122 days / 4 months (~ February 2025).

Obviously, that is unlikely to happen and I expect that they will tailor down their use closer to their production rate (I don't know what their production rate is) before the end of the year, as they completely run out of any reserves.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (1 children)

76% of the artillery, be active or stock... Those are not rookie numbers anymore. They probably have to transport "fresh" tubes over 1000s of kilometres distance to the front.

China knows the ruzzkis are weakening their eastern border daily. No wonder they keep "supporting" them. One day Chinese army will walk in without a single shot fired.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 days ago

I suspect the storage facilities are close to being completed emptied of working or easily fixable pieces and all that's left is scrap/spare part pieces.

They may be receiving, or could receive in the future, artillery pieces from allies (ex. NK) that could change their ability to keep up losses.

Regarding China, I don't think China would militarily invade a stable Russia (not civil wared). I think it's more likely they will economically dominate them, with the implicit threat of militarily/covert action if Russia tries and recover their economic sovereignty in those dominated regions.