this post was submitted on 06 Aug 2024
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[โ€“] [email protected] 1 points 3 months ago (1 children)

A brief history of WW3:

  • 2014: Russia annexes a small piece of Ukraine
  • 2022: Russia invades Ukraine, leading to ongoing fighting
  • 2023: Hamas attacks Israel, leading to ongoing Israeli attacks on Hamas in Gaza
  • 2024: Iran attacks Israel, Israel attacks Iran, China attacks Taiwan. US supports Taiwan with munitions, similar to Ukraine
  • 2025: China shoots down a US Satellite, bringing the US (directly) into the war. Naval fighting over Indonesia and Pacific Islands
  • 2026: people finally start calling it WW3
  • 2027-??: hard to say
[โ€“] [email protected] 5 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

I don't think China blowing up a satellite would be enough casus belli to bring the US into a war. No loss of life would occur.

Going back to World War 2 as an example, where the US similarly provided munitions aid to Britain via lend-lease, Germany sank several US aid ships, killing their American crews, and that wasn't enough to bring the US into the war in full until the bombing of Pearl Harbor.

It would need to be some sort of event that brings conflict to the US, like Pearl Harbor or 9/11. Americans are too war-averse otherwise to support direct involvement in conflict, preferring proxy wars when they see the need for intervention.