this post was submitted on 31 Jul 2024
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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world. About 1C of total warming. Second chart: about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability. Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases. About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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'Worrisome': Global Methane Spike Imperils Climate Goals, Study Warns (www.commondreams.org)
submitted 3 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 months ago

Key message remains that methane is "the strongest lever we can quickly pull to reduce warming".
It's not runaway, but there is a positive feedback of methane increasing its own lifetime by using up atmospheric oxidising capacity. I note also, new to me - "an increase in decomposition rates from wetlands as higher temperatures interacted with La Niña conditions in the tropics" - so during El Niño we get more CO2 from forest fires, but during La Niña more CH4 ... - how to lock-in that carbon ? I also wonder how much methane is coming from Russia recently, whose government cares the least of all.