this post was submitted on 16 Jul 2024
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politics

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[–] [email protected] 20 points 3 months ago (1 children)

Polls are bullshit anyway.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 3 months ago (2 children)

Polls have been remarkably accurate in the last few election cycles.

The "polls are wrong" talking point is a convenient way for politicians to ignore the will of the people. Trump has done this for a long time, and recently Biden has taken up this practice to pretend that the "Real Americans" think he is fit to be president for another 4 years.

So please don't repeat this talking point, or at least read a bit into historical accuracy of polls before you declare them bullshit.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 months ago

Guess I'm being overly optimistic thinking that Trump would be supported at all, let alone have a lead. Regardless of how shit a candidate Biden is, Trump is a fucking disgrace and a criminal among a whole other list of garbage. Appreciate you taking the time to call out my random comment on Lemmy.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 3 months ago (1 children)

Polls being wrong claim is more about how election results seem to be different than poll results. Special elections points to that.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 months ago

Polls have a margin of error and election results have generally been within the 80% confidence interval 80% of the time.

It is true that when there are less polls (like in special elections) it's harder to get an understanding of the state of the race.