this post was submitted on 03 Oct 2023
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Ukraine's attacking with fewer resources and fewer men in a war of attrition. Ukraine simply cannot win in that context.
This isn't a case where Russia overextended their supply lines and can't sustain an offensive (unlike the start of the war). Russia is currently in dug-in defensive positions holding high ground. Don't be delusional about Ukraine's odds in that situation.
Ukrainian strategy is fucking insane to watch and Russia simply isn't incurring the losses necessary to pull out of the conflict.
This offensive != war.
It will likely take a couple more years to see who will outlast who.