this post was submitted on 28 Apr 2024
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I really can't imagine people tolerating another lockdown, especially given that most people now think that the last set of lockdowns didn't achieve much of anything in the end. I expect that we're just going to let the next pandemic rip and take no measures at all.
But the collective psychosis from another million dead is going to be fucking wild
Indeed
The human fatality rate of COVID-19 is 1-3%, depending on how you count cases. From what I've seen reported, the human fatality rate of this strain of bird flu is closer to 50%.
(Lots of "ifs" coming) If this starts to spread human-to-human, if it spreads as easily as COVID, and if we don't lock down and this becomes endemic like COVID, COVID will look like a walk in the park compared to what this will do. I'm crossing my fingers that COVID was in that mortality sweet spot where it was bad enough to cause a lot of deaths but not quite bad enough to make officials make people angry with actually taking care of the problem. 50% mortality should be comfortably on the side of "deal with it at all cost."
Yep. We in the west never even had a thorough lockdown and the capitalists acted like it was the end of the world. The Covid pandemic is still raging, killing people and leaving the survivors with debilitating Long Covid, but the capitalists just want to let it rip because actually addressing the pandemic requires too much change. Some of us will die, but that's a price the overlords are willing to pay to keep themselves on top.
There's no way they take bird flu seriously
exactly
As bad as the U.S. covid response ended up being long-term, and even as a general doomer, I do think if this ends up a serious threat of breaching containment that they won't just sit back and let it happen.
A 1-in-2 fatality rate perks up ears far faster than 1-in-100, even the most deluded of capitalists would know how devastating that would be for profits.
I'm expecting that even with 1-in-2 fatality rate we'll see an initial spike where nobody believes it, before the reality starts to set in.