this post was submitted on 26 Sep 2023
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Independents are usually not centrists but people who don't want to admit they're uninterested in politics. So yeah, politics is dumb and to them it also seems unnecessary, and they understand little enough to have really dumb, aggressive ideas when made to speak up.
What's the evidence for that?
I have you covered! https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-moderate-middle-is-a-myth/
For whatever my experience is worth it also lines up with this. Centrists exist, but they're extremely rare somewhere as asymmetrically polarised as America, and even otherwise are just a small part of the minority of people who have a strong ideology of any kind.
Thanks for the link. However, it doesn't seem to support the assertion that "independents are people who don't want to admit they're uninterested in politics."
Rather, it seems to support that those (Americans) who refuse to pick a side are unpredictable in their preferences.
It even says:
The closest thing to your assertion in here is this opinion:
NB: "the moderate category," as distinct from independents. The article even takes pains to separate them:
Well, they aren't interested enough in politics to come up with a consistent viewpoint, and they don't admit it, but I guess that doesn't explicitly show a motivation.
What kind of data would convince you?
I mean I hear you but that's still an unsupported extrapolation. What would convince me is evidence of the claim itself.
Like what? We do not have mind reading technology yet (well, technically we do, but not like this), so motive is hard to see on an instrument readout.