this post was submitted on 04 Apr 2024
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No Stupid Questions

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From what I understand, a lot of knowledge was lost following the collapse of the Roman Empire as manuscripts were no longer being copied at the established frequency and information that had lost relevance (for certain jobs etc.) wasn't being passed down.

If a catastrophic event were to happen nowadays, how much information would we theoretically lose? Is the knowledge of the world, stored digitally or on printed books, safer than it was before?

All the information online for example - does that have a greater chance of surviving millennia than say a preserved manuscript?

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 7 months ago (1 children)

While a Carrington event would be catastrophic, it won't be even a generation (80 years) before some capacity to access digital data returns. I'd argue it would be days to months.

Carrington wouldn't wipe out everything, just a lot of things, mostly power supply related, at the consumer level from my understanding, and that would be things that are connected to a sensitive grid. Any laptop or tablet not currently on power would be fine, and their switching power supply would likely be protective (In that it would probably fry first).

I've worked on disaster recovery plans that would survive Carrington, during which I studied extant data centers (which would survive one without missing a beat, because Carrington is a subset of the risks they've mitigated). Some were capable of surviving things like a direct impact of a Cat5 hurricane, 1000 year flood events, had power filtering on a massive scale (their greater concern was malicious actors), multiple redundancies of power sources (last one I reviewed had 5 separate power providers each coming in from a different direction, each capable of running the entire facility, with on-site generation capable of running for a week before needing fuel).

So if data centers like these are already operational, just think about the engineering and planning that started more than 20 years ago (one data center I reviewed had been operational since 2005), and what these same engineers/teams have been looking to mitigate.

Then there's all of us ~~home hoarders~~, self-hosters, and their combined planning and capability. Many of us already run commercial power management (full-isolation UPS), with a variety of storage systems, backups, etc.

Seems to me the greater challenge with disaster is connecting unaffected resources to impacted locations.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Just a quick correction, but there are 5 generations to a century, a generation is 20 years.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago

Arguably, the time from when a girl is born until she becomes a mother herself is rising significantly.

That time might have been 20 years a century ago but is closer to 25-30 years in western countries now.