this post was submitted on 25 Feb 2024
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True, but as sid, the current status of AI has nothing to do with the one which we will have in the years of a Mars colony (2030-40?). We are not talking about bots that make their own decisions (who knows), but about bots with enough intelligence to serve as assistants to the rich inhabitants, these already exist today (look at Japanese robotics, which already use assistant robots in any field, with enough AI to accomplish the assigned task). The bots and AI that we will have in 10-15 years in any case will have no comparison with what we currently have, this is a fact.
Right, but how much support do these bots need behind the scenes. Somebody has to do maintenance on them, somebody has to be able to decide whether they're functioning properly, whether they have problems that need to be addressed, etc. Hence why I think there will still be need for workers. It's just the nature of work is going to be around making sure the robots are operating smoothly. You'd probably need a relatively small workforce, but I don't think you could eliminate it entirely by 2040.
We'll see
My prediction is that this going to turn out to be hype for the most part. We'll definitely see some advances in AI happening, but I'm far more skeptical about the wild claims about full automation. I think what we're seeing is companies riding the hype wave and trying to get investments while this tech is looking really hot. Like you said, we'll see where we are in a decade or so.