this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2024
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I used to teach medical statistics to post grad doctors in the UK. One of my examples was the drop in HRT use in the 90s with UK newspapers reporting a doubling in cancer risk. That was also a relative risk, with absolute risk remaining extremely low. Both the all cause mortality and the absolute measures for quality of life were such that more women suffered and died as a result of the headline scare story.
Yeah, looking at the article, the actual risk is hundreds of cases out of 99 million vaccinated individuals. That's such a small amount I can't even imagine how this is something I need to know or care about.
@Gazumi I had a dispiriting conversation with someone recently where they (elderly, obese) said that they were going to stop using artificial sweeteners because they'd seen the headline about the WHO not recommending them because of possible links to diabetes and heart issues.
This person had decided to switch back to using actual sugar and HFCS to avoid these risks.
Nothing I said (or tried to provide) would change their mind because I am not a headline.