this post was submitted on 15 Sep 2023
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I don't think the west called Russia's bluff. Ukraine did.
The bluff was working right up to the 24th of Feb 2022.
Many western analysts expected Russia to win in short order.
Russia expected Ukraine to fold (as did the USA with the offer to flee they gave to Zelenskyy) but instead they called and Russia had to show their cards. which turned out to be a busted flush.
Now it seems everyone knew Russia was a paper tiger for years...
I conjecture that the people who were in a position to know that Russia was a paper tiger were also the folks who benefited from Russia being the West’s bogeyman.
Notice how quickly the media has repositioned China as the foil. Now, I’m not saying it’s undue, but it seems we’ll always be at war with Eastasia.