They don't really lose. They just stop talking about things and start talking about something else crazy. Their followers do not care.
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I hate the use of the word "tolerant"; I don't tolerate people of different races, religions, sexual orientations, etc., because there is nothing to tolerate. I just accept them.
The people I tolerate are people who try to impose their religion by force, people who profit from hurting others, Nazis, terrorists, etc. I don't tolerate them because I'm tolerant; I tolerate them because I have no choice in the matter. They exist no matter what I think of them. If I could banish them all to Siberia, I would.
I feel like statistics on religion are largely useless, especially in Western, mostly Christian nations. So many people follow the "I said a prayer when I was 10 so now I won't go to hell" version of Christianity that a huge chunk of those yes responses are actually functionally atheists and have been for a long time.
I don't mean to imply anything negative about atheists here. I just think the only thing really changing is that younger people don't see the point in pretending to be religious anymore. They're at least casually familiar with the tenets of Christianity and are pretty aware that what their parents are doing is not religion but some sort of weird social and political club with little resemblance to the religion it's supposedly based on. In fact, I'd argue that the percentage of people who take religion seriously on a personal level has always been much lower than official numbers like this would indicate.
I'll consider them as having lost when they're out of political power and no longer a serious threat.
Abortion rights aren't going to reinstate themselves.
They also lost the science war.
Also the civil war
Did they win the war on drugs? That seemed to go well.
No, they lost to people on drugs.
BlackRock is leftist? It's a nightmare built from unrestrained neoliberalism!
Anything that is not openly fascist is leftist to these people.