this post was submitted on 14 Dec 2024
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Fuck Cars

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 week ago

We shouldn't even bother to compare, the loop thing in Las Vegas is not a transport system, it's an amusement ride.

[–] [email protected] 128 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

It's a great American success because instead of being good at what it needs to do, it is good at making money for a rich person.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 week ago

And only because of government support. Your tax dollars at work.

[–] [email protected] 98 points 1 week ago (3 children)

That $75 million figure made my bullshit detector start to squawk, so I did the math. The web site says it has a capacity of 4,400 visitors per hour, and assuming $3.75 per ride (if nobody gets the daily pass for $5), it only has to operate at maximum capacity all hours of the day and night, 24/7, for 6 months to bring in that amount of revenue.

So if the profit margin is 50%, the Vegas Loop can make $75 million in a year of continuous operation at 100% capacity. Seems legit. /s

[–] [email protected] 41 points 1 week ago (4 children)

I'm sure they meant 75m gross, at best.

Which, even if that's true, I'm still laughing at him because it hasn't fixed the traffic.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 1 week ago

It's like someone said they'd fix the US healthcare system and then bragged about how much money their health insurance company is making in response to people saying they did dick all to fix the system.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 week ago

Until you realize that not fixing the traffic was the point. It's not funny because he didn't fix anything on purpose.

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (3 children)

I tried to find the source of this and all I can find is "webpronews" which says:

With $75 million in annual revenue, 28,000 daily passengers, and 150 Teslas in operation, this underground transportation network is redefining how cities think about mobility.

So if it's 28000 x 365, that's $7.50 per trip. Of 1.7 miles. That's suspiciously double the $3.75 listed on the Vegas loop site, which also offers a day pass for $5.00.

Still, even $37.5 to $50 million is some pretty significant revenue (not to be confused with profit). Does it carry 28,000 riders per day though? As best as I can tell, this is what a publication from the Board of Directors of the Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority claims is the record ridership, set during a Specialty Equipment Manufacturers Association convention. Even ignoring the suspiciously round number, the publication notes that rides were free on that day, and obviously it's blatantly wrong to apply a record total to a daily average.

So essentially, the tweet is a dishonest interpretation based on another dishonest interpretation of dubious statistics. Lesson is, everything on Twitter is bullshit - emphasis on every. Even subparts of bullshit on Twitter are still bullshit, often layered on other bullshit. Twitter is the last asshole of the human centipede of bullshit.

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[–] [email protected] 91 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Also I haven't really looked into this Vegas Loop thing until now, and the tweet was right, it only connects a convention center and a hotel LOL

[–] [email protected] 140 points 1 week ago (5 children)

Last I heard too the cars aren’t autonomous in the tunnel either. They’re driven by real people. The “hyperloop” idea was actually to try and kill the high speed rail project in Cali. Elon is a piece of shit and tried to tank our train, which has helped to extend the project further and increase scrutiny of it.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 week ago

Yeah, that was one of the ways people realized 'oh, Tesla FSD is complete bullshit.'

If you can't even automate a car driving in an extremely simplified and controlled environment, like a set track with a 2 or 3 'stops'... your FSD is obviously crap.

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[–] [email protected] 36 points 1 week ago (3 children)

You get the worst of both worlds, inefficiency of transportation capacity of a car with limitations of driving destinations of a rail.

And apparently even the self driving doesn't even work there (you would think this would be an easy feature to add)

[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

So it's just a worse tunnel then

Ha

[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 week ago (5 children)

it gets worse: the loading and unloading takes several minutes because all the cars have to back out into traffic, so congestion in the tunnel is common. the max speed is something like 15km/h because there are too many cars moving in the system. and the tunnel is too narrow for you to be able to open the door, meaning that in the event of a fire, everyone just dies.

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[–] [email protected] 71 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (3 children)

Sure bud, 75 million a year.

Let's be super generous and say this thing operates 365 days a year, 24 hours a day. And let's say we're talking about turnover, not profit when saying it "makes" 75 million a year. And let's say they do a 100 trips an hour all day long. That would mean a single trip would cost over $85. Yeah right, in your dreams buddy.

[–] [email protected] 35 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Knowing how musk operates, it's 5 million in profit and 70 million paid by Vegas or some government handout as some sort of fucked up deal he managed to get

[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 week ago

More likely is 100 million in losses, but 175 million paid by vegas

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 week ago

This sub seems like it's got more disinformation and engagement bait than a lot of others. I agree with the concept but a post about a tweet retweeting someone's blatantly false info is just dumb.

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[–] [email protected] 45 points 1 week ago

It made him money but did not fix traffic lol

[–] [email protected] 39 points 1 week ago (3 children)

Elon is grafting as per usual, it’s government funded:

TBC doesn’t generate revenue from charging passengers (the rides are free)… Only LVCVA provided a substantive reply, and none addressed the question of capacity, nor the outstanding questions about children or passengers with mobility issues.

For instance, during a large trade show like CES, the LVCC will pay TBC $30,000 for every day it operates and manages the system

At a frankly embarrassing capacity too:

If the Loop can demonstrate moving 2,200 passengers an hour, TBC will get $4.4 million

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 week ago (1 children)

According to the Boring Company, the LVCC loop has a "demonstrated peak capacity" of 4,500 passengers per hour but only 32,000 passengers per day. I don't know the reason for the discrepancy - I assume there are operational limitations or it doesn't run 24h/day or something. But to my mind we have to use the 32k figure, which yields a paltry 1,333 passengers per hour.

Now technically a direct comparison would be to a single subway line, not the entire system. BUT we also need to compare it with the maximum capacity, not the actual ridership, which blows the doors off the stupid tunnel. I've seen numbers for BART as high as 48,000 passengers per direction per hour.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

Anyone who cursorily looks at public transport logistics realizes that time deficiencies almost never lie on the actual motorization method. Electric, diesel, rail, rubber, car, bus, train, etc. All of those factor's influence pale in comparison to embarking and disembarking times.

It doesn't matter if you can make the trip in 15 minutes or an hour, if you always have to wait 40 minutes to disembark, then that trip is always capped at 40 at the least time it can take. The Vegas tube terminals are absurdly small. Thus people have to wait a long time to board a car, which isn't the most efficient thing to get on or off. And they have to wait a lot in line before getting to a park spot to disembark. Then it's the fact that each has to be driven by a person who need regular food and bathroom breaks and general rest. And there's a driver per every 3 or 4 passengers. Inefficiencies begin to build up.

So, under one metric, from departure to arrival, yes the tube itself could carry 4k people an hour. But as a transport system as a whole it is awful at capacity and collapses as soon as so many people actually try to use it. This is a system that experienced a traffic jam inside the tube in their inauguration day, because that's just what cars do when so many are at close proximity.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 week ago

Spitballing here, but given the low per vehicle capacity and the inherent de/acceleration required at each stop, Vegas may be better served with a moving walkway for those 2.2 miles of total network length.

And it’d be far more accessible for people with reduced mobility or wheelchair users too

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Honestly it's just kinda cringe that las Vegas doesn't have a train system. Sure it's wider than tall but they could do the Japanese style two tier train pricing (low cost every stop, crammed in, and higher cost express that's less frequent and has assigned seating).

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[–] [email protected] 32 points 1 week ago (7 children)

I'll be perfectly honest as a non-American who tries to not hear about Musk, I had no idea this was actually built.

I'd heard about it, but I didn't think they'd be stupid enough to actually build it.

Some people are "idea" guys, other guys are wealthy. When these are separate people, great things can come of it. When they are both the same person, stupid shit comes of it.

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[–] [email protected] 30 points 1 week ago

The important thing is that it's making $75 million a year, not that it's profitable or that it's efficient.

The .com "Revenue is value" bullshit has persisted and it sucks.

[–] [email protected] 28 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

Jesus fucking Christ... I always knew this thing was dumb, but I was trying to think of similarly sized trains for a good comparison. I live near Atlanta. Our local airport Hartsfield-Jackson is the busiest airport by passenger count. There is a train called the Plane Train that connects the terminals together. According to that page it has 2.8 miles of track which is similar to the LVCC Loop's 2.2. The Plane Train carried "more than 250,000 people per day" (article from 2018, btw). The LVCC Loop has "demonstrated peak capacity of over 4,500 passengers per hour, and over 32,000 passengers per day." The Plane Train uses 11 four-car trains during peak hours. The LVCC Loop uses 70 cars. Even if you wanted to make a weird comparison and say "but it's not 88 cars" that wouldn't make up for the 7.8x capacity of the Plane Train lol. Plus, each car is driven by a human. The trains are autonomous. I assume there may be someone monitoring it from some control area, but still.

PLUS! It's not like The Plane Train is some crazy high tech solution! It was first made in 1980. I remember in pre 9/11 days riding it to the terminal to see off family members as they left for flights. Not much has changed about it. People don't get on it and think "wow this is so cool." It just works!

Elon Musk could not beat a simple train system in an airport built in the 1980s.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 week ago

Yeah but how much revenue does the plane train make? /s

[–] [email protected] 27 points 1 week ago
[–] [email protected] 24 points 1 week ago (1 children)

For anyone interested, that's the U4 line in Hamburg, Germany, at the "HafenCity Universität" station.

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[–] [email protected] 22 points 1 week ago

One is a grift, the other one is actually meant to be a means of transportation

[–] [email protected] 22 points 1 week ago (1 children)

This is a 3.5km tunnel with a speed of 55km/h. Thats 3.8 minutes of travel. No fucking way this thing could ever be profitable.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Isn't this simply a private lane for whoever pays?

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 week ago

Thats the one in California, the one in Vegas has drivers and is between the convention center and a hotel.

IIRC their peak capacity estimates do things like assume loading/unloading times for a family of 4 with luggage to be under 30 seconds too.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 1 week ago (1 children)

A few years back I actually found the hyperloop pretty novel and cool. Like put your car on skates and it could zoooom very fast. Yes a train would be better but this idea seems like a cool project. Fast forward now, and you still have to drive and stuff, it's lame af.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Hyperloop is soo fucking stupid if you think about it for like 5 minutes, but lots of people bought into the hype.

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[–] [email protected] 18 points 1 week ago

For some reason Americans don't think trains are sexy. Mostly though there's a belief that they're extremely expensive, difficult to maintain, worse to use than cars, and too inflexible. The first two are more true about highways than railroads and the hyperloop is the worst of both worlds and really just the manifestation of Elon and many Americans' distaste for interacting with and as part of the public.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 week ago (2 children)

For a reference of scale, the largest high speed rail network in Europe is in Spain. Last year it moved some 33 million people (that's just high speed, not including local slow trains or urban metro) and, while overall revenue data is not widely available (there are multiple operators reporting independently), it generated several billion dollars.

If you want to scale that to what it would do in the US with a similar network you can add a zero to all the numbers and you won't be too far off.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 week ago (5 children)

Yeah, I've said this before, but USA seems like a perfect place to build a HSR right? It seems like an ez money too now that I think about it.

Copying my comment on [email protected] :

I’m not even from USA to be clear, but my limited image of USA is that it lacks efforts of building public transport, especially compared to other developed countries. Heck, compared to developing countries even.

One of the example, US seems like a perfect place to build a high-speed rail network. Yet, CAHSR seems to keep getting delayed. In comparison Morocco has a HSR. Even Indonesia has one opened last year.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 week ago

Well think of it this way:

A politician COULD approve a project like this, and his area will see improvements in 2-7 years, and everything connected to the network improves in 4-10 years, and if the politician personally invests and things go well (they would, but yOu nEvEr KnOw) then the politician could stand to gain a decent chunk of ROI in a few years.

OR

The politician ~~accepts a bribe~~ listens to lobbyists from the automotive industry, kills all competition to ICE vehicles and more roads, the area stagnates for the third decade in a row, and the politician is $10,000 richer today.

Honestly the politicians hands are completely tied here. Their net worth is only $18 million, do you really think they can afford to wait a few years???

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[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 week ago

I thought the point was solving traffic. Not making money. Even the headline contradicts itself.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

"Everybody laughed at Elon when he said he could do a thing! Now he does a completely easier, unrelated thing!"

Checkmate liberals?

It is hard to "solve traffic"...especially by selling more cars...but Elon made a profit in gimmick town by building a profit-seeking gimmick...so, take that, doubters! That's definitely what you said he couldn't do!

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 week ago

The sad thing is, there's already a light rail there between the convention center and hotels.

Also if note, If they would have built a nice path, you could have easily just had people walk.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 week ago (1 children)

We have a LRT here in toronto that has taken over a decade to build and MIGHT finally open in 2025. I am so sick and tired of transit projects being so slow.

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

There are fake groups with bots on Facebook (and likely other social media) that are praising Elonia. I actually saw one that was trying to turn this failure project into some kind of success.

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