I don't even care whether your attitude is, "Oh no, we fucked up," or you go with option B which is what you're saying. If you have to wonder whether you're gloating or not, then fuck you.
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I'm not gloating, I just said I didn't want to seem like I was because I'm not trying to antagonize my political allies. I'm sorry if it seems like I am because that really is the last thing I want to do. I want Republicans to lose elections and I'm just putting forth a theory of why they didn't last night that seems persuasive to me because I'm still operating under the assumption we'll have more elections (which, like, very TBD, but either way I think building a coalition of like-minded people will be important).
Obama won his election after being a good bit to the right of either Biden or Harris. I think most of what's changed since then is the awesome power of the influence operations which succeed at creating alternate realities for people where Trump is important to vote for, and Harris is important not to vote for, depending on the person being targeted.
I'm not trying to be closed-minded about it, and maybe my meme as applied to you was unfair. I'm a little bit on edge when talking with the "what the Democrats did wrong" crowd on Lemmy, since a lot of them also like to make up imagined sins for the Democrats, helping to create that alternate reality, to go alongside any well-intentioned criticism they are giving.
The bottom line is, the Democrats lost for a variety of reasons some of which were their fault and some weren't, and we are thoroughly fucked as a result. I don't think people realize how bad it's going to be.
Obama was about as moderate as Harris and Biden. I'd even say his campaign was more progressive than theirs. He's been the only Democratic candidate to run on a platform of change in the last two decades. All the others have run on a platform of the status quo, even Biden.
This is correct. Propaganda works, its just that simple.
Everyone from Sanders to Dick fucking Cheney endorsed Harris. Anyone who was paying any attention and wasn't a literal fascist voted for her. The direction of the swing seems irrelevant.
The swing fell short because it's not so much about direction than strength. Macron in 2017 ran the most "hard center" presidential campaign imaginable. Difference is it worked, not because his centrist program was particularly novel but in large part because he is a very charismatic figure and managed to create a voting base of hopefuls for himself. The same can broadly be argued about Obama (whose first act as president was to essentially absolve the previous administration and Wall St of their many sins in case anyone forgot how moderate he was).
Harris ran on a platform of... "I'm not him". Which to any reasonable person is an obvious "yeah OK", but unfortunately most Americans are apathetic cretins who will refuse to move their asses to a polling station if the guy on the telly doesn't promise them a blowie at the voting booth. And the Democrat establishment is simultaneously too big to fail and incapable of producing an actually charismatic leader.
Well, all that and the obvious election interference from Musk, Putin, and the ontological inability of traditional media not to platform literal fascists.
(whose first act as president was to essentially absolve the previous administration and Wall St of their many sins in case anyone forgot how moderate he was).
I think this very thing led to the 2010 tea party wave election that fucked us for a decade and a similar thing has happened here, except it was the seeming inability of the Biden administration to hold Trump and his supporters accountable and not going after corporations making record profits during an inflationary crisis ("So how would you recommend they have done that?" Great question, I will let you know when I have a good answer).
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Well, all that and the obvious election interference from Musk, Putin, and the ontological inability of traditional media not to platform literal fascists.
This absolutely played a huge roll (also, voter suppressing laws passed by GOP governments), but I don't know how to change any of that without having a Democratic party that consistently wins elections first
The FBI apparently learned some lessons on how to deal with Russian interference since 2016 and made some arrests this time around. Way too little too late though, and in January Trump's cronies will take over and that'll be that. Other countries should take notes though and start being much harsher on Russian trolls and their puppets. Unfortunately Von Der Layen recently fired the guy who was prosecuting Musk over Twitter so I'm not too confident anyone in power learned their lesson. Which is mind-boggling because russian-backed far-right parties are a meaningful electoral threat to people like Von Der Layen.
Where is this "muscular border policy"? I'm not seeing it anywhere! 😂
Arrrg paywalls.. at least post the full article in the comments!