this post was submitted on 06 Jul 2024
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submitted 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
 

Hi all! Today I am going to calculate what are the chances of every single egg in your inventory dropping 4 chickens. To find this out, we're going to need to determine the chances of an egg dropping 4 chickens, which is 1/256 (https://minecraft.wiki/w/Egg)).

Now let's take this to the extreme. Again, let's fill up all the shulkers in your inventory with eggs. So, a shulker box has 27 slots and eggs can stack up to 16, which means 16 x 27 = 432 Now, an inventory has 37 slots, so 432 x 37 = 15,984 Therefore a whole inventory can hold 15,984 eggs.

Now, going back to that first number: each egg has a chance of 1/256 of dropping 4 chickens. So now, here is our final answer: (1/256)15,984 =7.9433 \times 10^{-10232}

So, the chances of your whole inventory of eggs, including shulker boxes, spawning exactly 4 chickens is The final probability is 7.9433 x 10^{-10232} i would love to write this number in full, but I can't because it's so close to zero it would not fit on my damn screen. Now, if any of my calculations are wrong, please flex your PhDs down in the comments.

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Could you guess at how many chickens in total you could expect to hatch with a full inventory of eggs?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 months ago

I was going to calculate this for you but hey actually do this on the wiki page for eggs: "The expected value of the number of chicks an egg produces is 35⁄256 or 13.7%. This means that on average, a chick is spawned every 7.3 eggs, a stack of 16 eggs spawns 2.188 chicks, and a full inventory including the hotbar and off-hand (37 * 16 = 592 eggs) is expected to spawn approximately 81 chicks." Egg

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

You really don't get it do you the final number contains so many zeros that I have to format it like this 7.9433 x 10^{-10232} another words it has 10232 zeros and then after those zeros it goes 7.9433

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago (1 children)

oh no I wasn't criticizing your use of scientific notation. I was joking that I could do it even with such a low chance

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago

Oh my bad lol