this post was submitted on 04 Mar 2025
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it can easily shrink
How? Something else would have to pull community members away from the fediverse. I don't know what that would be right now.
Meanwhile, non-federated platforms will enshittify, be bought out by a crazy billionare who wants to ruin everything, or (like has happened with other, older monopolies) be broken up during a dynastic feud. I see some strong parallels to how Linux has outgrown proprietary alternatives over the decades, and arguably it's even harder for an OS.
It is difficult to find conversations on the Fediverse that don't boil down to "America bad" "Linux good" "is the Fediverse growing?" and if that trend keeps up for terribly much longer people will stop logging in because they've experienced all the platform has to offer. Even people who hate America and love Linux are going to wander off if you don't show them enough cat pictures.
Threads like "ask a question and my guinea pig will type the answer" are way too rare here.
Do you see a bunch of "America bad" posts or a bunch of News/Discussions which places a negative light on America due to the bad things America does?
There's a huge difference, people don't typically get tired of being aware of and discussing current events.