this post was submitted on 07 May 2024
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[–] [email protected] 3 points 6 months ago (13 children)

Yes, I remember this. But people have wised up. How do I know? Because Trump lost while being a sitting president, an event that doesn't happen often. At least in 2015/2016, a lot of people were giving him the benefit of the doubt. And it wasn't the majority (he lost the popular vote, as we all know.)

[–] [email protected] 10 points 6 months ago (11 children)

And yet the polls pretty consistently show him ahead

[–] [email protected] 6 points 6 months ago (2 children)

Ignore the polls. Look at the trump signs around you. At least where I'm at in Florida, they're probably at tenth of what they were in 2020. I was a republican in 2020 that voted for Biden and renounced my affiliation after the senate acquitted in the second impeachment. The only demographic that Trump is seeing increased support from is young men, a famously allergic to going to the polls group.

We should fight like hell to make it a landslide but the polls published right now are only there to drive engagement. Democrats have outperformed the polls by 5-10pts in every election since 2020.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 week ago

Yeah I was wrong about a prediction I made six months ago. Before the Biden trump debate. Before the assassination attempt. Before the conventions.

You really got me.

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