this post was submitted on 24 Sep 2023
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[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 year ago (5 children)

The problem with China’s real estate market is that it’s entirely built on false promises and leveraged debt.

The government provides cheap loans to citizens to buy homes they will never live. All in an effort to drive the country’s GDP… but eventually you will either:

  1. Run out of capital to fuel this construction
  2. Rebase the value of these paper homes and the economy collapses on a scale 10x that of the 2008 housing crisis

This article has nothing to do with unhoused people, nor an overvalued housing market pushing out middle class buyers. The economics of the Chinese market are completely dissimilar from the western (US particularly) markets.

It’s entirely about how the Chinese government has an unsustainable market segment dedicated to building things that people don’t want or need… other than to have wealth on paper.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Didn't we just come off a decade of record low interest rates? Are we all fucked?

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago

It's not a matter of if the Second Great Depression will happen, but when

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